Weak Amazon outlook another blow to tech-type growth shares

This post was originally published on this site

The news followed similarly huge slide in META Platform shares on Thursday, after the Facebook (NASDAQ:META) parent reported late Wednesday costly metaverse bets and the impact of soaring inflation on ad spending, which spooked investors. But Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) earnings on Thursday were a bright spot, with higher than expected revenue leaving its shares only slightly lower.

Amazon’s net sales were $127.1 billion in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, lower than analysts’ expectations of $127.46 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. For the holiday quarter, the world’s biggest online retailer forecast net sales of between $140 billion and $148 billion versus expectations for $155.15 billion.

COMMENTS:

MICHAEL O’ROURKE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, JONESTRADING, STAMFORD, CONNECTICUT

    “A lot of people have been holding out that earnings would hold up here. The guidance that Amazon gave is pretty disappointing, in the sense the fourth quarter is their Christmas quarter. They talked about struggling back in July when they reported Q2, and yet the stock rallied 30, 40%. So obviously there are still problems there.”

    “As far as Apple, the numbers weren’t great; they weren’t terrible. But I think everyone wants to hear what the guidance is for next quarter.”

    From a markets perspective, you have to be cautious going forward. When you think about whether it’s the FANGs or Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)… they’re the biggest stocks in the market, and we really haven’t had much of anything good come out of any of them. A lot of what is holding the broad tape up at the moment is hopes of central bank policy pivots.”

    “Obviously these companies are showing that the interest rate hikes and policy tightening are having an effect. We just don’t know how much of an effect, but it’s notable. And I think you’re going to see through year end investors trying to take a step back. They need a new baseline of where the trend of business is going forward, so I would expect more volatility going into year end.”

RICK MECKLER, PARTNER, CHERRY LANE INVESTMENTS, A FAMILY INVESTMENT OFFICE, NEW VERNON, NEW JERSEY“Big tech companies are not impervious to slowdowns in the economy, particularly if they are consumer driven. What we saw in the past is that in a period of growth, tech really grew faster than anything else and got multiples that reflected that. But as the Fed embarks on this planned slowdown, it is eating away at some of their consumer-faced businesses and given their high multiples it is causing big contractions in their stock prices.”

QUINCY KROSBY, CHIEF GLOBAL STRATEGIST, LPL FINANCIAL, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA

    “We were so used to tech outperforming during the pandemic. There was always concern going into earnings, and quarter after quarter, they surprised to the upside. This period has been a major switch for tech. The higher rates don’t help, and you have the stronger dollar as a headwind amid the backdrop of weaker demand. So this is a period that is difficult.”

KIM FORREST, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, BOKEH CAPITAL PARTNERS, PITTSBURGH 

“The world has changed but people haven’t. They want what won last year to win this year.”

    “Amazon results just reflect the changing tastes of the consumer which nobody should be surprised by it. We were locked in our homes for two years and we’re getting out.”

    “The companies and investors thought this would go on forever so the big technology companies like Amazon continued hiring to support a business that looks like the year 2021, and it’s not 2021. It’s 2022. Layer on top of this inflation. People are buying less stuff, I would have to guess. We know they’re buying less stuff from Amazon.”

    “The big part with Apple is what they think looking forward. Despite the headwinds of the strong dollar and their consumers having to battle inflation, the results are pretty good.”

    “Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) results surprised on the upside. They’d been priced for a going out of business sale which they are not. It’s still a long road ahead but this quarter was a bright spot. But we still have commentary on the call so don’t get too excited.”