The Ratings Game: AMD eyes $100 billion market cap as more analysts see market share grab from Intel

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Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s stock soared to fresh records Tuesday after another analyst hiked his price target on the chip company, driving it to a market cap in excess of $100 billion.

AMD AMD, +8.98% shares spent Tuesday carving out new intraday records, and were last up 9% at $84.62, on track for a new closing record. The stock’s intraday high of $85.81 put the company at a market cap of more than $100 billion for the first time. AMD’s stock last closed at a record $78.20 on July 30, fresh from AMD’s strong earnings and indications that the company’s market share gain from Intel Corp. INTC, +0.83% was quickening.

Intel shares, for their part, were up 0.6% at $48.57, giving the company a market cap of $206.61 billion. In late July, Intel said it was delaying the release of its 7-nanometer chips until at least late 2022 because of manufacturing issues.

In chip parlance, nanometers, or nm, refers to the size of the transistors that go on a computer chip, with the general rule being that smaller transistors are faster and more efficient in using power. AMD, on the other hand, already sells 7-nm chips, and has spent 2020 releasing more and more versions of them.

In a Tuesday note, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis, who has a buy rating on AMD, raised his price target on AMD to $95 from $86. Lipacis said the lead of AMD, and its chip fabricator Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. TSM, +0.43%, over Intel appeared “systemic.”

Lipacis said he expects AMD share gains to accelerate, especially in the server market, with an estimated 30% share over the next two to three years, and 50% in four to five years. In its recent earnings call, AMD said it had just reached 10% share of the server market.

B of A Securities analyst Vivek Arya, who has a buy rating, had forecast a $100 billion AMD in a Sunday note, after hiking his price target on the stock to $100.

Arya said AMD is well on its way back to its peak market share of 20% of the PC market and 25% of the server market as Intel struggles. On AMD’s big upsides, Arya said AMD’s PC CPUs are “equally competitive (or in some cases superior) products that still sell at a 15%-45% discount” to Intel’s.

Of the 36 analysts who cover AMD, 15 have overweight or buy ratings, 18 have hold ratings, and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $75.76, according to FactSet data.

Foir the year, AMD shares are up 85%, while Intel shares are down 19%. Pacing AMD are share of Nvidia Corp. NVDA, +1.55%, which are up 89%, valuing the company at $274.01 billion.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.18% is up 2% for the year, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, +0.17% is up 21%, and the PHLX Semiconductor Index SOX, +0.97% is up 18%.

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