S&P 500 gains as weakest pace of job growth since 2020 eases Fed hike worries

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The S&P 500 rose 0.12%., the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.18%, or 62 points, and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.

The economy created 209,000 jobs in June, missing the 225,000 expected and a marked decrease from the 306,000 in the prior month. That marked the weakest pace of job creation since December 2020.

But average hourly earnings, or wage growth, rose 4.4% last month, topping estimates of 4.2%

While expectations for a July hike remained baked in, investors are betting that the cooling in the labor market would be enough to keep the Fed from hiking again after July.

“Today’s report supports our view that the incoming data will not meet the bar for the Fed to deliver a hike in September,” Morgan Stanley said in a note.

The 2-year Treasury yield fell below 5%, but the 10-year yield held onto gains.

Energy stocks were back in the driving seat, leading the broader market higher as expectations that a less hawkish Fed eased worries about a recession and the oil demand outlook.   

Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL), Diamondback Energy Inc (NASDAQ:FANG), and Schlumberger NV (NYSE:SLB) were among the biggest gainers with the latter up more than 8%.

Levi Strauss (NYSE:LEVI) fell more than 8% after the denim retailer cut its annual earnings guidance after reporting quarterly results that showed a beat on earnings, but in-line sales amid a dip in wholesale revenue.

The company cut its guidance on adjusted diluted EPS for 2023 to a range of $1.10 to $1.20 from $1.30 to $1.40 and said it now expects revenue of growth of between 1.5% and 2.5% from 1.5% and 3% previously.

Pressure in U.S. wholesale is now resulting in some level of “pricing give-back in comparison to the growth achieved since pre-pandemic levels,”Goldman said after cutting its price target on the stock to $14 from $15.

Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN) climbed more than 8% after Wedbush upgraded its price target on the EV maker to $30 from $25 amid “further confidence in Rivian hitting/exceeding its delivery targets heading into 2H23 and 2024 with an inflection year ahead.”

The upgrade comes just days after the company reported that it had delivered 12,640 vehicles in the second quarter, beating market estimates.

Alibaba  (NYSE:BABA), meanwhile, was up more than 8% as it moves a step closer to put the regulator spotlight in China in the rearview mirror after its affiliate Ant Group received a $984 million fine from authorities.