Shares of generic drugmakers rise on hope that legal issues are nearing an end

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Shares of generic drugmakers jumped Monday as speculation mounted about a series of legal settlements potentially nearing a resolution.

Mallinckrodt’s MNK, +11.42%  stock rallied 15%, while shares of Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. TEVA, +4.06%  rose 5%. Mylan MYL, +4.09%  and Endo International ENDP, +3.15%  were up 4%.

Read: Stocks of generic drug companies fall after more than 40 states file suit alleging price fixing

Bloomberg reported that sources have said Teva and other drugmakers, including Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, are in talks with the Department of Justice to resolve allegations of price-fixing in the generics sector. In May, the Justice Department amended a civil antitrust complaint to include 20 manufacturers for allegedly coordinating pricing for 100 generic drugs. This follows a 2016 suit in which Heritage Pharmaceuticals was charged with conspiring with other generic drugmakers to fix prices. A deferred prosecution agreement resolved that charge.

Separately, drugmakers like Johnson & Johnson JNJ, +0.07% and Teva and drug wholesalers including AmersourceBergen ABC, +0.27%,  Cardinal Health CAH, +1.35%, and McKesson MCK, +0.35% that marketed or distributed opioids are watching to see how a proposed global settlement to resolve pending and future allegations plays out. Attorneys general in four states announced the settlement framework in October. It’s unclear whether or not other states that are also suing these companies will join the settlement.

See also: Teva shares rise as company offers reassurance on former flagship drug Copaxone

Analysts have largely viewed the settlement in principle as a positive, despite concerns about not having the full picture. “If the existing framework does get adopted, that will be major relief for Teva,” Evercore ISI analyst Umer Raffat wrote earlier this month.

“While shares have been battered by excessive likelihood assigned to headline litigation events, predominantly opioid-related liabilities at this juncture, additional clarity emerged during the quarter around global settlement framework (that) alludes that more than $10 billion decline in equity value over the past six months is perhaps overdone,” Raymond James’ Elliot Wilbur wrote, about Teva.

Read: Prescription drug prices aren’t rising — they’re falling for the first time in 47 years

But there are still some concerns. On Mallinckrodt, “we are maintaining our Hold rating given uncertainly with respect to potential opioid liability,” SunTrust Robinson Humphrey’s Gregg Gilbert wrote Nov. 11.

SVB Leerink analysts predict the global settlement will be reached within the next four months. “We could also see read-through for other opioid-levered names like Endo and Mallinckrodt,” the analysts wrote in a Nov. 24 note.

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