NewsWatch: Here’s what history tells us about U.S. stocks in a close election race and why the polls matter, Deutsche Bank says

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MARKETWATCH FRONT PAGE

U.S. stocks look set to dip slightly on Tuesday after Monday’s rally, as U.S.-China tensions rise over TikTok. See full story.

A 10% selloff in the stock market is most likely, says expert who called March lows: ‘Something has to give’

Michael Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, and his colleagues believe that the narrow breadth of winners in the stock market will likely result in a 10% correction before giving way to a renewed rally. See full story.

Odds are ‘as high as 35%’ that next coronavirus aid package won’t become reality until September, analyst says

As Democrats and Republicans continue their negotiations over another big coronavirus financial aid package, one analyst is cautioning that the next measure may not come together until next month. See full story.

What makes one person more likely than another to believe #fakenews and conspiracy theories about COVID-19?

Myths and misinformation about the coronavirus pandemic serve to politicize a global public-health emergency and distract from potentially life-saving measures, health professionals say. See full story.

Trump has no right to demand money from Microsoft-TikTok deal

The move by the U.S. government to attempt to get the Chinese company ByteDance to divest the U.S. version of its popular TikTok social media app is not without recent precedent, but President Donald Trump’s demand for a cut of the deal is completely bizarre. See full story.

MARKETWATCH PERSONAL FINANCE

On the anniversary of the 1918 flu, Ed Yong warned of another pandemic. He says the U.S. must learn the lessons from the past seven months, adding, ‘COVID-19 is merely a harbinger of worse plagues to come.’ See full story.

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