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You just can’t keep a bull market down.
After the worst session since May 12, and a nearly 3% drop over the last three sessions, the S&P 500
SPX,
came bouncing back by 1.5%.
With record economic growth and fiscal and monetary support in full force, it’s no wonder bulls are driving markets higher, even as worries over new variants of coronavirus, surging inflation and fading stimulus abound.
It turns out there’s technical support as well. According to Bespoke Investment Group, when the S&P 500 closed below its 50-day moving average this year, it’s rallied on average by 3.95% in the ensuing week. Since 1945, the average one-week return when the index closes below the 50-day moving average is a mere 0.06% gain.
Now, the S&P 500 merely touched the 50-day moving average this week and didn’t close below it. Still, the factoid, they say, is evidence of the buy-the-dip mentality driving markets at the moment. They warn of course that the firepower won’t last forever, but for now, it’s hard to bet against this stock market, no matter that the rallying bond market seems to be sending the opposite message.
Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Advisory Services, adds the headline reading of the S&P 500 is obscuring the fact the pullback is already further along than many have realized, with just 36% of stocks in the S&P 500 now above their 50-day average, versus 90% in April. Trading may get “sloppy” over the summer months but the primary trend over the next 12 months remains higher, he adds.
Netflix misses Wall Street estimate
Streaming service Netflix
NFLX,
missed earnings estimates though its profit forecast for the current quarter exceeded analyst estimates, as revenue met Wall Street goals.
Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMG,
topped earnings estimates and reported a 31% surge in comparable restaurant sales.
Earnings are due from beverage giant Coca-Cola
KO,
healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson
JNJ,
and after the close, microchip maker Texas Instruments
TXN,
J&J also will be in the spotlight after a study found its coronavirus vaccine less effective against the delta variant than the mRNA vaccines made by Pfizer
PFE,
and Moderna
MRNA,
Tesla
TSLA,
CEO Elon Musk, Twitter
TWTR,
CEO Jack Dorsey and Ark Investment Management CEO Cathie Wood will discuss bitcoin at an event scheduled for noon Eastern.
The founder of real-estate investment trust DigitalBridge
DBRG,
Thomas Barrack, was arrested for illegally lobbying for the United Arab Emirates during the Trump administration.
USA, USA, USA — at least in the stock market. The ratio of the U.S. stock market to everywhere else is at unprecedented levels.
The markets
A second-day bounce
ES00,
NQ00,
is ahead, with Dow futures
YM00,
up about 200 points and European stocks
SXXP,
also climbing. Oil
CL00,
continues to gain, and the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond
TMUBMUSD10Y,
is pushing higher. Bitcoin
BTCUSD,
was closing in on $31,000.
Random reads
Why actor Ashton Kutcher didn’t make it into space this week.
Jurassic fossils were discovered — thanks to Google Earth.
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