Market Snapshot: U.S. stock futures rise amid cautious trading as Thanksgiving looms

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U.S. stocks opened slightly higher on Tuesday, but the Nasdaq soon fell into negative territory as traders gauged impacts of COVID-19 restrictions in China and waited for Wednesday’s minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve meeting.

How are stocks are trading
  • The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.44%

    was up 12 points, or 0.3%, at 3,962.

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.70%

    gained 199 points, almost 0.6%, to trade at 33,899.

  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.10%

    dipped 30 points, more than 0.2%, to 10,994.

On Monday, the Dow fell 45 points, or 0.1%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite shed 1.1%. The S&P 500 is up 10.4% from its 2022 closing low hit on Oct. 12, but remains down 17.1% for the year to date. Stocks have fallen in three of the past four trading sessions.

What’s driving markets

Stock markets were a touch firmer but traders seemed reluctant to place bold bets as they weighed concerns about fresh COVID-19 restrictions in China and the prospects for tighter Federal Reserve policy.

Adding to the caution was a holiday-shortened week for Wall Street, where volumes traditionally tend to thin notably in the run up to Thanksgiving on Thursday and Black Friday.

Read also: Is the stock market open on Black Friday? Thanksgiving week trading hours for major assets.

“The irony is that the China reopening story has been a big positive driver of China-related risk and overall markets over the last couple of weeks, so we are trading between feast and famine on this story,” wrote Jim Reid, strategist at Deutsche Bank, in a morning note.

“Both could of course be ultimately right. There might be many more restrictions in the near term but stronger more durable re-openings by the spring. Markets are struggling to price this at the moment though,” Reid added.

The lackluster action in stocks also reflects a market that has stalled following a rally off 2022 lows, and as investors look to the next catalyst to help push the S&P 500 out of its recent relatively tight range of roughly 50 points, on a closing basis, held over the past two weeks.

The ceiling of that range is 4,000, and unfortunately for equity bulls it is unlikely the S&P 500 will finish much above it even in a year’s time, according to Goldman Sachs.

In a note published late on Monday, the Goldman strategy research team led by David Kostin, said that assuming the U.S. economy manages a soft landing then the stock market will experience “less pain but also no gain” in 2023.

“The performance of U.S. stocks in 2022 was all about a painful valuation derating but the equity story for 2023 will be about the lack of EPS growth. Zero earnings growth will match zero appreciation in the S&P 500. Our valuation model implies an unchanged P/E multiple of 17x and a year-end index level of 4000,” said Kostin.

Emblematic of the market’s travails over the past year or so are the share price collapses of former lockdown-linked work from home darlings, such as Zoom Video Communications Inc.
ZM,
-7.97%
.
Stock in the videoconferencing group was off about 9% in Tuesday morning trading, having delivered soft fourth quarter guidance after Monday’s closing bell.

Kansas City Fed President Esther George is due to speak at 2:15 p.m. ET.

There are no U.S. economic updates of note set for release on Tuesday, while a raft of data are due Wednesday, including minutes of the Fed’s November policy meeting.

Companies in focus
  • Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc.
    DKS,
    +1.06%

     stock initially dipped but rebounded in premarket trading Tuesday after releasing its third quarter earnings. In Tuesday morning trading, shares in the retailer are up 1.73, or 1.62%, after the company beat estimates with positive same-store sales and offered a rosy outlook.

  • Dell Technologies Inc.
    DELL,
    +3.77%

    shares were off 1% Tuesday, following quarterly earnings released after Monday’s trading session. While earnings beat estimates, the company’s fourth quarter revenue expectations were lower than analyst expectations.

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