Market Snapshot: S&P 500 futures stall as rising oil prices help keep Treasury yields near 16-year highs

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U.S. stock futures were struggling to make headway early Thursday after oil hit a 13-month high, underpinning bond yields.

How are stock-index futures trading

  • S&P 500 futures
    ES00,
    +0.03%

    dipped 3 points, or 0.1%, to 4310

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures
    YM00,
    +0.02%

    fell 43 points, or 0.1%, to 33748

  • Nasdaq 100 futures
    NQ00,
    -0.08%

    eased 24 points, or 0.2%, to 14715

On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA
fell 69 points, or 0.2%, to 33550, the S&P 500
SPX
increased 1 points, or 0.02%, to 4275, and the Nasdaq Composite
COMP
gained 29 points, or 0.22%, to 13093.

What’s driving markets

Equity investors continued to warily eye the trajectory of bond yields. The S&P 500 is down 5.2% so far in September as long-term borrowing costs have risen sharply in recent weeks to their highest since 2007.

Early action Thursday saw the 10-year Treasury yield
BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
little changed around 4.61%, helping S&P 500 futures to nudge just a tad lower..

Propelling bond yields upwards in recent sessions — alongside fears of increased supply of government debt and relatively sturdy economic data of late — is a surge in the cost of energy.

The WTI U.S. crude benchmark
CL.1,
-0.05%

touched $95 a barrel overnight, its most expensive in 13 months, as Russia and Saudi Arabia trim production and U.S. inventories have fallen to low levels.

“The continuing surge in oil prices adds a layer of complexity to the economic landscape,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.

“At the very least, it will mitigate the disinflationary trend and likely prolong a period of elevated interest rates. In this environment, central banks will face a challenging task in balancing the objectives of promoting economic growth and managing inflation,” he added.

Traders will be interested to see whether Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell addresses this issue when he makes comments at 4 p.m. Eastern. Fed Governor Lisa Cook is scheduled to speak before that, at 1 p.m.

There will also be a batch of U.S. economic updates for investors to ponder, including the weekly jobless claims report and the revision to second-quarter GDP, both due at 8:30 a.m., and pending home sales for August at 10 a.m. The Fed’s favored inflation gauge, the core PCE index, will be released on Friday.

Weakness across Asian bourses was contributing to Thursday’s cautious tone, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng
HK:HSI
falling 1.4% to hit a new low for the year after trading of heavily indebted Chinese property developer China Evergrande Group
3333,
-18.99%

was suspended. Mainland China’s markets will now be shut until Oct. 9 for the Golden Week holiday.

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