Economic Report: U.S. trade deficit in goods jumps 17.5% to record $97.8 billion as imports surge

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The numbers: The trade deficit in goods surged by 17.5% in November to set an all-time high, keeping the U.S. on track in 2021 to post its biggest annual shortfall on record.

An early or advanced look at the trade gap in goods showed that it increased to $97.8 billion in November from a revised $83.2 billion in October, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

The U.S. is poised to surpass a record set in 2006 and incur its biggest trade deficit ever.

The domestic economy has recovered faster compared to most other countries, largely explaining the surge in imports and slower rebound in American exports.

An advanced estimate of wholesale inventories, meanwhile, revealed a 1.2% increase in November. And retail inventories jumped 2%, according to an early estimate.

Companies sought to stock up ahead of the crucial holiday shopping season, but manufacturing-production bottlenecks, congestion at U.S. ports and other transportations snafus have caused big fluctuations month to month.

What happened: U.S. imports of goods rose 4.7% to $252.4 billion in November. Imports of industrial supplies, autos, consumer goods and food all rose sharply.

Americans have snapped up huge quantities of imports since the U.S. fully reopened earlier this year. Stimulus money, rising wages and a fast-recovering economy have given them the financial means and confidence to spend.

U.S. goods exports slipped 2.1% to $154.7 billion from a record $157.4 in October. Shipments of most goods declined.

Exports took longer than imports to return to precrisis levels because the economies of major U.S. trading partners haven’t recovered as rapidly.

The trade deficit is likely to subside in 2022 as other countries rebound, but U.S. deficits have been high for years and are likely to remain that way. A higher deficit subtracts from gross domestic product, the official scorecard for the U.S. economy.

The full trade report, which includes services such as tourism and travel, comes out next Thursday.

Big picture: The U.S. economy is still growing steadily and has exceeded pre-pandemic levels despite the background noise of large trade deficits.

The bigger problem for the economy are bottlenecks that are preventing imports and exports from getting to their intended destinations on time. That’s helped spawn the biggest increase in U.S. inflation in almost 40 years and could hurt the economy in 2022 if the supply constraints don’t clear up.

Omicron might also shave off some growth in the end of the fourth quarter and start of 2022.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+0.26%

 and S&P 500
SPX,
-0.10%

 were set to open lower in Wednesday trades.

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