Economic Report: Consumer spending rises slightly, but high inflation is the reason why

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The numbers: Consumer spending rose a mild 0.2% in February, but rising prices due to high inflation played a big role and is weighing on the economy.

Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast 0.5% increase.

A key measure of inflation also included in the report, meanwhile, also rose 0.6% last month, government figures showed. So real spending actually declined.

One bit of good news: The increase in spending in January was revised up to 2.7% from 2.1%. Taking the two months together, and consumer spending appears to have gotten off to a healthy start in 2022 and exceeded the rise in inflation.

Incomes rose 0.5% in February. Wages have also climbed rapidly over the past year, but not as fast as the increase in the cost of living.

Big picture: The economy has accelerated since omicron faded. Americans are still spending plenty of money, while businesses are investing and hiring at a healthy clip. The U.S. is expected to add another half-million new jobs in March.

What remains to be seen is how much high inflation acts as a drag on the economy, especially with the Federal Reserve moving swiftly to raise interest rates to try to tame the rapid increase in prices.

The so-called PCE price index has climbed 6.2% in the 12 months ended in February, marking the biggest increase since January 1982.

The war in Ukraine and Covid lockdowns in China could are other potential land mines.

Key details: Americans spent more in February on hotels, restaurants and other services as the omicron wave faded, governments lifted restrictions and more people went out again.

They cut spending on new cars and trucks. New vehicles are hard to find because of major production delays, and even when they are ready for purchase, some customers have been put off by record prices and rising interest rates.

The savings rate rose to 6.3% from 6.1% and remained near pre-pandemic levels. Savings soared early in the pandemic, but the amount of money people are socking away has declined gradually over the past year.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.19%

and S&P 500
SPX,
-0.63%

were set to open narrowly mixed in Thursday trades.

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