This post was originally published on this site
Treasury yields fell Thursday morning, as government paper found support from apparent safe-haven flows and stocks continued to lose ground on inflation fears.
What are yields doing?
-
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD10Y,
2.861%
fell to 2.849%, down from 2.918% at 3 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Yields and debt prices move opposite each other. -
The 2-year Treasury yield
TMUBMUSD02Y,
2.581%
slipped to 2.582% from 2.629% Wednesday afternoon. -
The 30-year Treasury bond yield
TMUBMUSD30Y,
3.013%
was at 2.993%, down from 3.04% late Wednesday.
What’s driving the market?
Yields were declining as U.S. stocks opened lower Thursday, a day after the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -1.02% fell for a fifth straight session and the S&P 500 SPX, -1.65% ended at its lowest in more than 13 months.
Data released on Thursday showed that the cost of wholesale goods and services rose a milder 0.5% in April versus the prior month, but intense inflationary pressures showed little signs of relenting.
The increase in wholesale prices over the past year, meanwhile, slowed to 11% from 11.5%, the government said Thursday. That’s the first drop since the pandemic started, mirroring a decline in the rate of consumer inflation last month.
Meanwhile, U.S. jobless claims settle just above 200,000 mark for the most recently reported week. Initial jobless claims rose 1,000 to 203,000 in the week ended May 7, the Labor Department said Thursday. Economists had expected a fall to 194,000.
What do analysts say?
“The PPI release, like yesterday’s CPI release, shows that overall inflation is starting to slow despite ongoing increases in food and energy prices,” said Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank. Even so, “the April PPI and CPI reports will not dissuade the Fed from making another half percentage point rate hike when they next meet in mid-June.”
“The Fed will want to see clearer evidence that inflation is cooling and higher interest rates are slowing demand before they start thinking about the endpoint of the current rate hike cycle,” Adams wrote in an email.
