Gold futures fell Wednesday after topping $1,800 and marking the highest finish since in nearly nine years a day earlier, as uncertainty about the economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic underpinned demand for the safe haven.
Gold prices overnight hit another 8.5-year high, but moved lower in Tuesday dealings, “on some more normal profit taking by the shorter-term futures traders,” said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco.com, in a note on the market. “However, just like Tuesday, don’t be surprised to see bulls once again step in to buy the dip in a technically very strong market.”
Concerns about the spread of COVID-19 and stimulus from governments and global central banks to limit the harmful impact of the contagion is expected to foster an environment ripe for the rise of gold to further records, gold bulls predict.
“Gold is continuing to rise reaching new historic levels setting the stage for $2,000 gold sometime this year,” Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities, wrote in a Wednesday report.
August gold GCQ20, -1.43% was $21.80, or 1.2%, lower at $1,778.80 an ounce after trading as high as $1,807.70 overnight, FactSet data show. A day earlier, it notched the highest finish for a most-active contract since Sept. 2011, according to Dow Jones Market Data. In August 2011, gold futures settled at a record $1,891.90.
In the first half of this year, gold futures based on the most-active contracts rose just over 18%. For the second quarter, the commodity gained nearly 13% and it climbed almost 3% in the month of June.
Meanwhile, September silver SIU20, -2.18% which is the most-active contract, shed 26 cents, or 1.4%, to reach $18.375 an ounce. For the first six months of the year, the white metal climbed 4%, but surged nearly 32% in the second quarter. It tacked on nearly 0.8% in June.
As gold prices got close to $1,790, “profit taking once again kicked in,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, in an emailed update. “With such a major level lying just above, I expect to see more of this behaviour, with rallies being quickly bailed on.”
“That’s not to say we won’t see $1,800 break at some point, I’d be surprised if we don’t, but there’s a huge momentum deficit that makes me highly doubt it at this time of asking,” he said.
Data Wednesday on U.S. private-sector employment showed a smaller-than-expected addition of 2.37 million jobs in June, according to Automatic Data Processing Inc. Gold, however, moved lower following the data. The government will release its monthly jobs data on Thursday, a day earlier than usual because Friday marks the Independence Day holiday.
An account of the Federal Reserve’s most recent monetary-policy meeting is due at 2 p.m., shortly after gold futures prices settle for the session.
Also on Comex Wednesday, September copper HGU20, -0.14% traded little changed at $2.729 a pound. October platinum PLV20, -3.09% fell 1.8% to $835.50 an ounce and September palladium PAU20, -1.98% shed 2.3% to $1,922.30 an ounce.